Quote:
Originally Posted by The Universal Curmudgeon
...If the US military were to withdraw from Iraq right now, the main drawback would be the time required to destroy the stockpiled materiel - since removing it from Iraq is an almost impossible logistical nightmare. ...
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Likely, we'd remove what we could; leave the rest behind: 50-100 yr hence, countries like Iraq, Afghanistan would remain our trash dumps. I'll never forget a Marine years ago telling me that during his tour in Afghanistan his platoon found comm. gear buried in the sand, from the Soviets-in-Afghanistan days, that was more sophisticated than what he & men were carrying. (Evidently, provided by the CIA for the mujaheddin.)
However, the Capt I think fails to get to the core of the logistical nightmare: 1) he didn't need to cite Clausewitz: we're in Iraq after 9/11 with or without Clausewitz; 2) material buildup not necessarily for prolonged war but for prolonged occupation.
The bases & airfields were going up almost before our guys reached Baghdad. If, however, the U.S. actually leaves Baghdad, little of logistics will accompany it: the civil war chaos of the sort that ran for 6+ yr after the Red Army departed Afghanistan will've begun before our guys reach the Turkey-Iraq border. The options are limited & unpleasant: long-term occupation (with occasional skirmishes & firefights) or withdrawal & chaos. & In both scenarios, we've produced a new enemy (the population of Iraq) lots more formidable than the scattered cells of al Qaeda.